Previous Return to table of contents   |   Search Reports Next
« Back to weltagrarbericht.de

336 | IAASTD Global Report

Box 5-2. continued

improves throughout 2025 to 2050 and more so in liberalized regimes; hence both rural and urban households improve their consumption. The marginally better performance in consumption of rural poor households under AKST reassures that a more agri­culture oriented growth process lead to decline of the rural-urban consumption gap in the long run.

 

livestock" is expected to grow with annual growth rate of 23%. The availability of non-agricultural goods in the domestic market is also expected to grow ranging from 2-5% per annum. Overall, total domestic supply is expected to grow by 4-5% every year out to 2050. The availability of goods for the domestic market

Table 5-33. Population deciles with per capita consumption expenditure changes over reference run India (in ascending order).

Per capita consumption

 

Population Deciles

2000

2025

2025-1

2050

2050-1

 

 

(Rupees)

Rural

1st Decile (poorest 10%)

1,245

1,874

2,018

5,349

5,408

 

2nd Decile

1,606

2,417

2,603

6,901

6,976

 

3rd Decile

1,854

2,790

3,005

7,965

8,053

 

Poorest 30%

1,571

2,364

2,545

6,748

6,822

 

4th Decile

2,082

3,134

3,375

8,946

9,044

 

5th Decile

2,310

3,476

3,743

9,922

10,031

 

6th Decile

2,575

3,874

4,172

11,060

11,182

 

7th Decile

2,879

4,333

4,666

12,368

12,504

 

8th Decile

3,291

4,952

5,333

14,137

14,292

 

9th Decile

3,954

5,949

6,407

16,984

17,170

 

10th Decile (richest 10%)

6,281

9,452

10,179

26,983

27,279

 

All Rural

2,806

4,222

4,547

12,054

12,186

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Urban

1st Decile (poorest 10%)

1,260

1,604

2,059

4,956

5,017

 

2nd Decile

1,691

2,152

2,659

6,651

6,732

 

3rd Decile

2,010

2,559

3,145

7,907

8,004

 

Poorest 30%

1,653

2,105

2,621

6,504

6,583

 

4th Decile

2,323

2,957

3,466

9,137

9,248

 

5th Decile

2,678

3,409

3,866

10,534

10,663

 

6th Decile

3,092

3,936

4,286

12,162

12,311

 

7th Decile

3,604

4,588

4,811

14,177

14,351

 

8th Decile

4,337

5,522

5,435

17,063

17,272

 

9th Decile

5,512

7,017

6,595

21,682

21,948

 

10th Decile (richest 10%)

10,226

13,019

10,437

40,227

40,719

 

All Urban

3,672

4,675

4,675

14,445

14,622

Note: 1 USD = Rs. 43.3 in 2000.

Source: GEN-CGE model simulations.

 

Table 5-34 shows an improvement of per capita availability of different agricultural crops through 2025 and further till 2050. The domestic supply in agriculture is projected to grow by 2.87% an­nually to 2050, and by 4.72% to 2050. The only sector showing a decline is the "meat" sector. However, apart from "meat", "other

 

indicates that domestic production along with imports remains healthy even after fulfilling demand for exports. Domestic supply of goods grows more significantly for the nonagricultural sectors and then again for the later years from 2025 through 2050.

Previous Return to table of contents   |   Search Reports Next
« Back to weltagrarbericht.de