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514 | IAASTD Global Report
Table 8-10. Ranges of rates of return.
Sample |
Number of observations |
Rate of return |
||||
Mean |
Mode |
Median |
Minimum |
Maximum |
||
|
(count) |
|
|
(percent) |
|
|
Full samplea |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Research only |
1,144 |
99.6 |
46.0 |
48.0 |
-7.4 |
5,645 |
Extension only |
80 |
84.6 |
47.0 |
62.9 |
0 |
636 |
Research and extension |
628 |
47.6 |
28.0 |
37.0 |
-100.0 |
430 |
All observations |
1,852 |
81.3 |
40.0 |
44.3 |
-100.0 |
5,645 |
Regression sampleb |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Research only |
598 |
79.6 |
26.0 |
49.0 |
-7.4 |
910 |
Extension only |
18 |
80.1 |
91.0 |
58.4 |
1.3 |
350 |
Research and extension |
512 |
46.6 |
28.0 |
36.0 |
-100.0 |
430 |
All observations |
1,128 |
64.6 |
28.0 |
42.0 |
-100.0 |
910 |
aThe original full sample included 292 publications reporting 1,886 observations. Of these, 9 publications were dropped because, rather than specific rates of return, they reported results such as >100% or <0. As a result of these exclusions, 32 observations were lost. Of the remaining 1,854, two observations were dropped as extreme (and influential) outliers. These two estimates were 724,323% and 455,290% per year.
bExcludes outliers and observations that could not be used in the regression owing to incomplete information on explanatory variables.
Source: Alston et al., 2000a
rates of return. The highest ROR observed for all agriculture, field crops, livestock, tree crops, resources and forestry were 1,219; 1,720; 5,645; 1,736; 457; and 457, respectively. All studies related to livestock and trees had a positive ROR. The mean ROR for livestock R&D was around 121. These data demonstrate that the estimated RORs for livestock species are comparable to the rates estimated for the other sectors. In addition, in this study the overall estimated ROR for animal research was 18% but when this was decomposed, the ROR for animal health research and animal improvement research were found to be 15 and 27%, respectively; indicating the underestimation of ROR for the overall investment. Probably, the decomposition by species would also show different RORs associated to each of them. Although the mean ROR estimates for industrialized countries is higher than that for developing countries (98 and 60%, respectively), the median are virtually identical (46 versus 43%) (Table 8-12). While there are not many studies from Africa assessing the returns to R&D, the existing analyses generally indicate high returns in the range of 4 to 100% for country level studies (Anandajayasekeram and Rukuni, 1999). The key findings of the last meta-analysis were (Alston et al., 2000a): |
|
There is no measurable difference in estimated ROR between privately and publicly performed research; 8.2.4.4 Agricultural research and education investments and agricultural growth |
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