Previous | Return to table of contents | Search Reports | Next |
« Back to weltagrarbericht.de |
Options to Enhance the Impact of AKST on Development and Sustainability Goals | 423
Table 6-5. Land area requirements for biofuels production.
Percentage of total 2005 global crude oil consumption to be replaced by bioenergy |
Energy yield |
|||
1st generation biofuels |
Next generation biofuels |
|||
40 GJ/ha |
60 GJ/ha |
250 GJ/ha |
700 GJ/ha |
|
5% ~ 1500 million barrels/year |
230 million ha |
153 million ha |
37 million ha |
13 million ha |
10% ~ 3010 million barrels/year |
460 million ha |
307 million ha |
74 million ha |
26 million ha |
20% ~ 6020 million barrels/year |
921 million ha |
614 million ha |
147 million ha |
53 million ha |
Conversion factors: 1 GJ=0.948 million BTU; 1 barrel of oil ~ 5.8 million BTU Source: Avato, 2006.
Table 6-5. Land area requirements for biofuels production.
genic crops, the depletion of water resources as well as the problematic resemblance of some biofuels feedstocks with invasive species (Raghu et al., 2006) need to be carefully assessed with special emphasis on the local context. Producing biofuels from inedible feedstock and on marginal lands. It is often argued that using inedible energy crops for the production of biofuels would reduce pressures on food prices. Moreover, many of these crops, e.g.,Jatropha, poplar and switchgrass, could be grown productively on marginal land, without irrigation and potentially even contributing to environmental goals such as soil restoration and preservation (GEF, 2006; IEA, 2004; Worldwatch Institute, 2006). Inedible feedstocks. Food price increases can be caused directly, through the increase in demand for the biofuel feedstock, or indirectly, through the increase in demand for the factors of production (e.g., land and water). For example, land prices have risen considerably in the US "corn belt" over the past years—an effect that is largely attributed to the increased demand for ethanol feedstocks (Cornhusker Economics, 2007; Winsor, 2007). Such factor price increases lead to increasing production costs of all goods for which they are used as inputs. Thus, using nonedible plants as energy feedstocks but growing them on agricultural lands may only have a limited mitigating effect on food prices. Marginal lands. Cultivating energy crops on degraded land or other land not currently under agricultural production is often mentioned as an option but it is not yet well understood. Several key issues deserve further attention: (1) The production of energy crops on remote or less productive land would increase biofuels production costs (due to lower yields, inefficient infrastructure, etc.), leading to low economic incentives to produce on these lands. In fact, while estimates of available marginal land are large, especially in Africa and Latin America (FAO, 2000; Worldwatch Institute, 2006), much of this land is remotely located or not currently suitable for crop production and may require large investments in irrigation and other infrastructure. (2) Environmental effects of bringing new stretches of land into production are problematic and need to be carefully analyzed, especially with regards to soil erosion, water resources and biodiversity. Development of next generation biofuels. Significant potential is believed to lie with the development of new energy |
|
conversion technologies—next generation biofuels. Several different technologies are being pursued, which allow the conversion into usable energy not only of the glucose and oils retrievable today but also of cellulose, hemicel-lulose and even lignin, the main building blocks of most biomass. Thereby, cheaper and more abundant feedstocks such as residues, stems and leaves of crops, straw, urban wastes, weeds and fast growing trees could be converted into biofuels (IEA, 2006; Ortiz et al., 2006; Worldwatch Institute, 2006; DOE, 2007). This could significantly reduce land requirements, mitigating social and environmental pressures from large-scale production of 1st generation biofuels (Table 6-5). Moreover, lifecycle GHG emissions could be further reduced, with estimates for potential reductions ranging from 51 to 92% compared to petroleum fuels (IEA, 2004; European Commission, 2005; GEF, 2005; Farrell et al., 2006). However there are also environmental concerns associated with potential overharvest-ing of agricultural residues (e.g., reducing their important services for soils) and the use of bioengineered crops and enzymes. |
Previous | Return to table of contents | Search Reports | Next |
« Back to weltagrarbericht.de |