coping with the impacts of climate change and efforts to    promote sustainable development share some important common goals and    determinants such as access to resources, equity in the distribution of    resources, and abilities of decision-support mechanisms to cope with risks.    Sustainable development can result in improved adaptation to climate change    and enhance adaptive capacity (IPCC, 2007b; Ver-hagen et al., 2007). Climate    change adds an extra challenge or constraint to existing obstacles to    achieving the various social, ecological and economic objectives defining    sustainable development. For agrosystems, any changes in technologies and    institutional arrangements that increase flexibility and resilience regarding    the different sustainability dimensions, will, in turn, increase their    adaptive capacity/capability to cope with climate change.  
           Impact of    climatic change (a function of exposure and sensitivity of a system) and    adaptive capacity determine the vulnerability of socioecological systems to climate    change (Yohe and Tol, 2001).  
           For Europe,    the ATEAM (Advanced Terrestrial Ecosystem Analysis and Modeling) project    constructed scenarios for a range of possible changes in socioeconomic    conditions, land use patterns and climate to assess the vulnerability of the    human-environment system to global change (Ewert et al., 2005; Schröter et    al., 2005). Results from that assessment show that global change will have a    large influence on ecosystem service provision in Europe.    There is, however, a large heterogeneity in the projected vulnerability    between regions. The Mediterranean region is projected to be most vulnerable,    while northwestern European countries face the lowest impacts and show the    greatest adaptive capacity (Metzger et al., 2006).  
           For the United States, US agriculture on the    whole can adapt (with either some net gains or some costs) if warming occurs    at the lower end of the projected scale of magnitude (i.e., 2 to 3° C by the    end of the century) and the variability level stays constant (Easterling et    al., 2004). However, with a much larger magnitude of warming, even under optimistic    assumptions about adaptation capabilities, many sectors would experience    higher losses and costs (Easterling et al., 2004). Canada will likely experience    similar effects (Lemmen and Warren, 2004). In this context, another feature    that clearly distinguishes NAE agriculture from other regions is the    significant high level of its current adaptive capacity. This is mainly due    to the region's access to important economic, technological and other    resources which is better than that of other regions (Adger et al., 2005). It    is also co-determined by the fact that relatively large areas have a    relatively low exposure to climate change, compared to other regions.  
        5.4.6.3 Consequences forAKST  
          Options for dealing with the threats of climate change require    examination at regional and local scales. Questions include: how can    emissions from agriculture and forestry be effectively reduced, how can    agriculture and forestry best adapt under given local conditions, what role    can biofuels play and, finally, what are the implications for AKST?  
               There will be    different requirements for AKST, depending on future policy and societal    choices, such as the degree of emission reduction, energy price increases,    reduced   | 
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    consumption, proactive adaptation and enhanced adaptive    capacity.  
           Some of the    obvious consequences for AKST are given below. Furthermore, some suggestions    are given on the efficacy of different measures in reducing the    vulnerability of agriculture and rural areas to climate change:  
      1.    AKST needs to    generate the information required to improve climate modeling and scenario    development. This includes developing improved methods for determining GHG    emissions from agricultural activities and improving our understanding of    the carbon cycle.  
      2.    Another area    that requires attention is the effectiveness of adaptation to today's climate    variability (Adger et al., 2005); such lessons are important for better understanding    of vulnerabilities and measures needed for different climatic risks.  
      3.    Improvement    is also required in the area of climate change impact assessment    methodologies—this refers to the modeling of multiple stresses as well as to    the quantification of climate change scenarios on the whole range of    ecosystems goods and services (Carter, 2007) and the effects of climate    change on the quality of crop and animal production.  
      4.    More effort    is required to develop knowledge and tools needed to support the design and    evaluation of mitigation and adaptation options for agriculture; this also    includes more comprehensive cost-benefit analysis than now available (Stern    et al., 2006; Carter, 2007). Comprehensive energy-efficient agricultural    systems need to receive particular attention.  
      5.    Likewise,    more consideration needs to be given to the establishment of AKST    multistakeholder approaches for designing and implementing feasible    strategies at the farm and subnational scale. All actors need to be involved    in a participatory planning process.  
      6.    There needs    to be more focus on regional studies of impacts and mitigation/adaptation of    climate change in agriculture, including assessments of the consequences on    current efforts in agricultural policies for sustainable agriculture that    also preserve environmental and social values in rural communities.  
      7.    The    development of strategies to enhance the adaptive capacity of agroecosystems    is a related issue that dwells on the generation of interdisciplinary    knowledge and a willingness to better integrate different AKST activities    across sectors and among stakeholders so that they become less vulnerable    and risks are better managed.  
      8.    Finally,    research should focus on creating productive and multifunctional land use    systems in rural areas that aim to provide sustainable ecosystem services and    employment. This should include, where necessary, restoration of degraded    lands and the integrated management of natural resources.  
        Where governments and citizens assume more responsibility    for the environment and are proactive in terms of alleviating the threats of    climate change, AKST activities will be more far-reaching and will require    the provision of better information, appropriate technologies and    multifunctional agricultural landscapes. However, where decisions on natural    resources and the environment (including climate system)   |