the production units, with better ecological and economic
conditions, manage to become organized within these chains
and markets and thus improve their profitability.
For some countries, however, food imports compete
with local food production systems, with a catastrophic effect
on small- and medium-sized production units. Displaced
producers abandon agricultural activity and shift to providing
small, nonspecialized services, either in the same rural
areas or in nearby urban settlements. All of this exacerbates
inequality in agricultural income, but this varies among the
different LAC countries.
By the end of the period, there is still a considerable
degree of social inequality, which is seen in differences in
access to employment, food security, education, and health
on the part of various social groups, such as large agricultural
producers, small family producers, agricultural wageearners,
and subsistence farmers. For some of the vulnerable
groups at the start of the period—small family producers
and wage-earners—the unequal access is considerably reduced.
This result is a continuation of a trend initiated in the
last decade of the 20th century, which was also strengthened
by the more widespread prosperity of that period. The situation
is also heterogeneous in the case of LAC countries. In a
small number of countries, thanks to public policies and to
the management capacity of food regulations and standards,
the urban poor also regularly have access to adequate quantities
of healthy food.
For countries highly dependent on food imports and
with a more reduced per capita income, the prices of these
products increase, creating urban food security problems. In the less developed countries in the region where economic
efficiency is low, environmental sustainability is not
a concern for production systems, except in some highly local,
traditional, or indigenous production systems. Deforestation,
intensive use of fertilizers and herbicides, expansion
of arable land into natural ecosystems, and the consequent
loss of biodiversity and neglect of soil fertility and water
quality continue. In a few countries there are plans to guarantee
greater productivity with environmentally friendly
technologies.
3.4.1.2 2016-2030
3.4.1.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural
production
Trade barriers are still absent, with the exception of healthrelated
ones. The trend towards intense competition among
countries increases during this period. The race to develop
new agricultural products incorporating a high degree of
technology is stepped up, so that commodities lose the relative
importance they had in world trade. The vast majority
of markets consume products with little value added, which
are frequently synthetically created in laboratories or generated
by microorganisms. In many cases, commodities are
only the raw material used to obtain these products. Some
commodities are the principal sustenance of a few LAC
communities, which preserve their identity and rituals.
In addition to concerns over quality and safety of foods
prevalent in the previous period, now consumers—virtually
without exception, since the entire world population is more
highly educated than at the beginning of the century—de
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demand
information on genetic manipulation and nanotechnological
methods incorporated in the foods. Regulations
on these matters and procedures for evaluation of foods
or agricultural-based nonfood products begin to be implemented
by governments.
Epidemics and epizooties increase in frequency and severity,
as a result of the accumulated effects of the mismanagement
of ecosystems, the introduction of new pests, the
lack of action to adapt and mitigate the phenomena associated
with climate change, and drastic changes in the pattern
of land use and technology. The quality of export products
is strictly monitored, as is that of foods sold in internal
markets.
Climate change remains a concern, but shows signs of
increasing, in temperature and in the frequency of extreme
events. In LAC there is already a greater capacity to implement
adaptation and mitigation measures, and this capacity
grows throughout the period.
Transnational companies have increased powerover
technological development. Traditional innovation polices
become inadequate, since the state is no longer the main
promoter of R&D activities. Moreover, problems emerge
related to social development (such as job losses as a result
of constant technological modernization), the environment,
and excessive control over the life of the common citizen
by these companies, which require governments to make
institutional innovations. The situation of global climate
change also requires new and vigorous policies designed to
protect the environment and modify agricultural production
systems.
The governments of the most developed countries in
the region allocate a large part of their fiscal resources to
implementing an unemployment insurance system. These
governments also offer incentives to corporations not to lay
off their employees as a result of technological changes, but
to retrain them instead to operate the new technologies. In
2025, governments establish a goal for gradual reduction of
the work week within the next ten years.
Most of the countries in the region are in an acceptable
situation from the standpoint of the their food quality standards
and regulations and their enforcement. This is reflected
in the reasonable efficiency of production systems, products,
and services to meet the needs of their users. However, the
systems are not necessarily environmentally sustainable, nor
are the products, subproducts, and wastes in general, and
this has a negative impact on the environment.
In general, stability and consistency among social, environmental,
and foreign trade policies progress considerably
for most LAC countries during this period, and various
policies initiated in the course of the previous period also
improve.
Education of stakeholders in production systems under
the responsibility of the public education system ensures a
critical mass of educated persons capable of meeting the
objectives of international competition. Strategic alliances
between both national and international companies and
academic centers of excellence help improve the quality of
public education at all levels.
The more developed countries make major advances in
bio- and nanotechnology. In biotechnology, there is a much
better understanding of the systemic impacts of the manipufromCK
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